WeatherWatchTV
Oz: Weekend outlook + weather to Christmas Day
- Title
- Oz: Weekend outlook + weather to Christmas Day
- Runtime
- 8:38
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- The forecast for Australia isn't as dramatic as it's been in recent weeks, but there are still some severe thunderstorms risks around the nation as more summer heat sinks southwards.
But at the same time the weather pattern south of Australia remains spring-like and messy/changeable. Poor ol' Tassie has more windy, colder, changes with that polar boundary still bringing in shots of wintry weather, including just before Christmas.
As for Christmas Day itself, still not yet locked in - but many main centres may be dry, or fairly dry, with thunderstorms and downpours most likely in the tropics. We'll update again for you tomorrow Friday!
- Title
- NZ: Another cold blast this weekend + Christmas Day weather outlook
- Runtime
- 6:59
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- As we've been saying for several weeks now, we have a spring-like pattern going through December, but with summer-like temperatures. By that we mean windy, changeable, weather with injections of cold, but otherwise still plenty of hot days - especially in the east and north of NZ.
But over the coming week we do see some cold air, with the chance of snow on the mountains this weekend in the South Island and even frosts in some areas (at higher elevation).
All of NZ will feel the cooler airflow, which for some will be cold, others more refreshing.
We also have the latest on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day - the very unsettled weather pattern south of New Zealand and Australia is making it harder to lock in the forecast yet, but we have the latest.
- Title
- Tropical Depression approaching Fiji
- Runtime
- 4:26
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- People in Vanuatu, Fiji and Tonga are monitoring a tropical depression which today is a borderline tropical cyclone offshore east of Vanuatu, and slowly tracking eastwards towards northern Fiji.
At the time of recording this the global Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) was already calling it a tropical cyclone, but the official authority in this part of the world for naming and calling a tropical cyclone is the Fiji Met Service, and at the time of recording this they were not calling it a tropical cyclone. We explain why this happens sometimes - but overall it makes little difference to the forecast, with the low still not expected to power up a lot more than is forecast.
Because it's a borderline system please keep up to date with the Fiji Met Service. We do not have weather videos on either Tuesday or Wednesday to update you, but this video shows our best thinking as of Monday.
For the most part this will hopefully be mostly offshore and only ...
- Title
- Oz: Weather next 7 days + Christmas Day forecast
- Runtime
- 8:32
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Temperature fluctuations continue in the south with both hotter and colder changes in the mix as a spring-pattern stays alive for Tas, Vic and parts of the southern coastline. In saying that, heat will also push through - especially inland - but at times it will be hot right down to the very southern coastline.
The heat will also expand in NSW and the A.C.T a bit more in the week ahead, while most thunderstorms and showers remain in Qld for a time, NT and WA.
We're also tracking a tropical depression near the Top End this week - for now it's not looking significant, but it's worth monitoring.
Plus we have your Australia weather map for Christmas Day - and while not yet locked in we cover what the main centres may be getting and any other noticeable weather features elsewhere for December 25th.
Programming Note:
Summer Schedule --- We have no weather videos tomorrow/Tuesday or Wednesday - but back again on Thursday!
- Title
- NZ: Spring-like until Christmas (NZ's 11 Day forecast!)
- Runtime
- 8:49
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Severe gales, heavy West Coast rain, and temperature fluctuations are on the way as spring weather returns following a much more settled previous month.
The return of spring-weather may be frustrating for some, especially in the wind and temperature department with a cold change in the next 24 to 48 hours wiping several degrees off daytime highs, and by the end of the week or Saturday an even colder change goes up the South Island.
But in true December style most cold snaps are short lived - with further westerlies and heat on the way from Australia too, arriving as early as Sunday or next Monday. Spring-like in December can also mean some eastern, northern and inland areas can be hot.
As for Christmas Day? The forecast is not locked in due to the unsettled/stormy weather pattern south of NZ that is driving our weather. We hope by this Thursday we can lock in Christmas Eve and Day with more certainty, but we have the latest map which shows westerl...
- Title
- Oz: Qld thunderstorms, southern coastline cold & hot changes
- Runtime
- 8:41
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Queensland is more in line for wet weather this week, although WA and the NT still have plenty of showers and thunderstorms in the mix too, and some parts of NSW.
While Tas and Vic have windy weather today, with colder air around bringing plenty of showers to Tas, we do see high pressure increasing this week, lifting temperatures (for a brief time) before the next polar change arrives - spring is carrying on later this year. Drier weather is also in the forecast.
North of Australia there are tropical lows to monitor offshore, but nothing serious at this stage - and while we do see spring-like conditions in the south of Australia, that also means some hot days in the mix too.
*Programming Notes:
- Our Summer Schedule has now started, which means we won't consistently have weather videos every weekday (hence today's Sunday update!). We will do our best to keep you up to date with our upcoming schedule with each update we do.
- Title
- NZ: Spring gales, temp drops (& spikes) + Fiji has a tropical low to monitor
- Runtime
- 9:36
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- We have our first forecast for Christmas Eve & Day today, but this coming week looks spring-like as a colder surge of weather moves out of Tasmania and reaches NZ on Monday and Tuesday.
The incoming cold front will bring heavy West Coast rain, a dusting of snow on the Southern Alps and a burst of severe gale nor-westers before the front arrives inland. In fact that windy westerly (kicking in over the next 24 to 48 hours) will boost temperatures ahead of the more "refreshing" cold change - although for some in Southland, Fiordland and Otago there will be a burst of "cold" air twice this week, with a "wintry" change expected by late week with daytime maximum's potentially not even reaching the teens for some!
High pressure is also in the mix - bringing more dry weather and daytime heat - and we give you a look at how the weather looks to be shaping up for the big day (Christmas Day) and also Christmas Eve.
TROPICS - TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPROACHING...
- Title
- Oz: Thunderstorms look to shift to Qld next week
- Runtime
- 8:18
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- More severe thunderstorms are expected in NSW today, while a polar change arrives in Tas on Sunday, with the risk of heavy downpours and thunderstorms looking like they will shift further into Queensland next week.
The more northern shift in thundery weather is due to the colder southerly coming into Australia's SE on Sunday/Monday, ahead of a very large high pressure system. It's this anticyclone that will balloon out into the southern half of Australia and bring a drier period of weather (some may have winds).
Programming Notes:
- We have no video tomorrow/Friday, but we're back again on SUNDAY with an extra update.
- Next week we have no weather videos on either Tuesday or Wednesday.
- Title
- NZ: Windy westerlies return next week + Vanuatu/Fiji tropical cyclone risk update
- Runtime
- 8:49
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- NZ has a cooler/colder change coming in later today and Friday as a southerly change arrives - gone by Saturday as high pressure crosses the country. By Sunday nor'westers and subtropical airflows return, boosting temperatures again.
Even windier nor'westers kick in on Monday, with possible South Island wind warnings and West Coast rain warnings as a cold front arrives. By Tuesday night that cold front moves into the North Island with a decent temperature drop going into next Wednesday for some.
TROPICS:
A potential tropical cyclone may form this weekend near Vanuatu, then drift near Fiji and Tonga next week. At this stage it looks like a lower end storm, but it's one to monitor. We have the latest tracking maps for this tropical depression over the weekend and into next week.
PROGRAMMING NOTES:
- We have no weather video tomorrow Friday, but will be back again on Sunday with a special weekend update.
- Next week we have no weath...
- Title
- Oz: Severe thunderstorms for NSW, wind/cold Sunday for Tas
- Runtime
- 9:44
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- NSW is the main focus going into Thursday and Friday with thunderstorms, some severe, expected through the interior and spilling over a little into Queensland. We track this area in detail with NSW rain maps to make more sense of it.
In all other states and territories there is a mixture of long dry spells, but also isolated thunderstorms.
Around Tas and Vic (and maybe the A.C.T) a colder change on Sunday and Monday will drop temperatures with wintry temperatures around Tas for a time.
We cover Australia's Big Picture - tracking where the weather is changing or developing the most.
+ a 7 Day Australia rainfall map to make sense of it all.
- Title
- NZ: Southerly coming Friday, windy westerlies to return next week + Tropical cyclone update
- Runtime
- 8:58
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- A colder change is coming for southern NZ later on Thursday and into Friday, with a southerly flow going nationwide - easing humidity and heat for a number of regions.
This weekend the heat returns again, especially by Sunday, with windy nor'westers and potential severe gales developing around the South Island on Monday.
By Tuesday that windy nor'wester heads into the North Island as a cold front slowly moves up the West Coast, bringing some wet weather into the western North Island.
TROPICS
A tropical cyclone may potentially be named this weekend around Vanuatu - but it's a fairly borderline system thanks to high pressure to its south nearer to NZ. Vanuatu, Fiji and Tonga may all get rain or thunderstorms from it - with a chance of strong winds for Vanuatu in particular. We show you a few maps to make sense of the current tracking/thinking.
- Title
- Oz: Downpours for NSW, polar air for Tas, heat elsewhere
- Runtime
- 8:32
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Heavy downpours and thunderstorms will expand across NSW in particular over the rest of this week, before high pressure moves in and clears them away to the north and east. South-east Queensland may also be affected for a time.
As always, our videos focus on where the weather is changing the most, or most intense - so if we're not talking about your area then chances are your 7 day forecast doesn't show much change.
Across Australia isolated thunderstorms and downpours will increase - but some large dry areas too.
Meanwhile in the south the next high pressure zone this weekend will usher in the polar boundary for Tasmania - but may drop temperatures along the southern coastline for a time, before moving into NSW and the A.C.T early next week.
We bring you the ups and downs across Australia weather-wise with a forecast through until next Monday.
- Title
- NZ: Refreshing Friday coming + update on possible Vanuatu tropical cyclone
- Runtime
- 8:55
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Hot weather will give way to cooler, or more refreshing, weather by the end of this week as a southerly flow arrives, but it will be ahead of more westerlies for the nation.
As Phil explains, NZ is smack bang halfway between La Nina weather to our north and polar storms to our south. It's bringing spring-like weather (changeable, sometimes windy) but with summer temperatures.
We show you the highs and lows, calm and windy days, over the next week ahead.
We also touch on the tropical depression which may become a tropical cyclone this weekend near Vanuatu.
- Title
- Oz: NSW expecting thunderstorms, polar changes in the south-east
- Runtime
- 8:44
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- NSW perhaps has the main weather focus this week and weekend due to thunderstorms and pockets of heavy downpours expected to develop. While thunderstorms and showers pop up in most other states and territories at some point, NSW has more widespread and heavier chances.
Meanwhile the temperature fluctuations continue in the south and south-east with the polar boundary twice expected to drop temperatures in TAS, especially this coming Sunday.
We give you the Big Picture forecast around Australia that is driving your local weather forecast + a 7 day rainfall map to make sense of it all.
- Title
- NZ: A few temperature swings, a subtropical low & subantarctic airflows
- Runtime
- 8:38
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- High pressure dominates much of NZ to kick off this week - and likely returns again this weekend - but the process of this will bring temperature fluctuations, especially in the lower South Island where the polar boundary returns later this week.
Many regions lean drier this week, with cooler or more refreshing airflows coming in later in the week.
A subtropical low gets close to NZ, but high pressure should keep it offshore.
High pressure may also weaken the chances of a tropical cyclone forming late this week or weekend around Vanuatu (poses no threat to NZ).
+ A 7 day rainfall map to make sense of any wet weather NZ has this week and weekend.
- Title
- Oz: Temp fluctuations and a few severe thunderstorms
- Runtime
- 9:57
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Showers continue along the very southern coastline of Australia and up in the tropics, while large dry areas dominate elsewhere.
Temperature fluctuations can be expected in the southern half of the nation as the polar boundary again tries to surge back in this weekend to the south-east, while ahead of it the tropical boundary bringing a hot nor'wester will boost temperatures well into the 30s.
As the cooler airflow pushes into the heat this weekend and going into Monday it will create downpours and thunderstorms (some severe) in the eastern side of NSW (especially the north-west) and Qld (especially the south-east).
Next week NSW may have even more thunderstorms and downpours as a north to north-easterly sets up.
Meanwhile a tropical depression around the Solomon Sea may turn into a severe tropical cyclone next week, but for now this poses no threat to Queensland and may well actually track away from Australia and more towards Vanuatu...
- Title
- NZ: Hot & dry for many + Tropical Cyclone potential next week near Solomons/Vanuatu
- Runtime
- 8:41
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- The first tropical cyclone of the South Pacific Cyclone season may be forming next week well north of NZ with the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu and New Caledonia most exposed. Any potential tracking into the New Zealand area will heavily depend on high pressure which is expected to be moving in to our nation a week from now. For now this is just one to monitor but poses no immediate threat to New Zealand - but it's positioning on the planet means it may track towards us at some point.
In the meantime NZ is about to heat up and dry out - with Australian and sub-tropical nor'westers kicking in those in the east, the north and inland areas of both main islands will be in the upper 20s and lower 30s temperature-wise between now and mid-next week. There will also be some brief cooler changes in the mix as airflows shift around a little for some regions.
Rainfall is low over the coming week - except for the southern half of the western South Island.
We have ...
- Title
- Oz: A few weekend thunderstorms + tropical depression near FNQ
- Runtime
- 7:23
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Large dry areas remain although showers and thunderstorms are passing through Tas and the south-east today.
Up in the tropics there isn't a huge amount of energy, but we are now monitoring a tropical depression that is expected to grow in the days ahead near the Solomon Islands and may become the first South-West Pacific tropical cyclone next week - however, it is not yet locked in and (at this stage) poses no threat to Queensland.
We have your Australia weather forecast for the next week ahead with perhaps the main focus on the eastern coastline this Sunday and Monday with severe thunderstorm potential.
- Title
- NZ: Drier weather returning, warmer too + some tropical trouble brewing
- Runtime
- 7:26
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- High pressure is moving closer to NZ today, pushing away yesterday's downpours and thunderstorms well offshore east of the country, but a windier airflow today continues around the North Island and central NZ.
In the days ahead west to north-west winds will pick up again, lifting temperatures especially in the east.
Meanwhile late next week well north of NZ around the Solomon Islands and Vanuatu we may see our first South-West Pacific tropical cyclone - although at this early stage it can't be locked in, but we talk about where it may form.
+ we have NZ's 7 Day Rainfall map.
- Title
- Oz: Weekend temp changes, hot & cold + eastern thunderstorms
- Runtime
- 7:38
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- High pressure continues to bring lighter winds and drier skies to a large part of the eastern half of Australia - until this weekend when a cooler/colder change moves in to the south-east.
Before this happens hotter weather pushes into SA, NSW and Qld, then the temperature drop this weekend will spark thunderstorms, some severe, into eastern NSW and south-east Qld.
WA has thunderstorms here and there, but not too many action in WA or NT at this stage.
Meanwhile Vic, Tas and the ACT will all notice temp changes in the coming days as more polar air moves around Tas in particular.
- Title
- NZ: Large low, hit & miss downpours / thunderstorms + your weekend outlook
- Runtime
- 9:36
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- A large low pressure system is bringing unstable weather conditions to most of the North Island today, resulting in downpours, thunderstorms (some severe) but also a mixture of dry and drizzly/lighter areas.
Low pressure systems like this are well known for "breaking" your local forecast, this is due to the instability the lower air pressure creates - and then our mountains and ranges play a role too. This means very heavy downpours can occur in one spot, while only a short distance away it may be sunny and dry. Understanding this will lead you to watching the rain radar and understanding where these main areas of heavy rain and thunderstorms are tracking across the day.
Otherwise, put simply, there is some wind and rain (over the North Island and upper South Island today/tonight) with it clearing the country on Thursday, gone by the end of tomorrow.
The weekend has west to north-west winds returning, which means many places will be warmer/hotter...
- Title
- Oz - Dry dominates for most, but weekend thunderstorms, polar change
- Runtime
- 8:31
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- High pressure is creating larger, drier, areas across Australia this week with thunderstorms more isolated.
As we head through the week and into the weekend the heat will increase in the south and east, but yet another polar change this weekend will once again see a drier airflow, a dusting of snow on the mountains in the south-east, a drop in temperatures and spark more eastern thunderstorms in NSW and Qld for a time.
We have your Australia-only forecast through until Monday next week as we track the big systems shaping Oz's weather.
- Title
- NZ: Large low incoming: Rain, gales, thunderstorms and instability
- Runtime
- 8:30
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Areas of rain, thunderstorms, and instability will be crossing NZ over the next 48 hours, with some heavy rain around the North Island, although our mountains and ranges may break that into patchy or more showery weather for others. Low pressure can be notoriously unpredictable.
Thunderstorms and instability can break rainfall forecasts - especially when a large low pressure system is moving in - producing heavier falls than expected in some areas, especially if slow moving. This is especially true for the northern and eastern sides of the North Island over the next couple of days. One positive is that very dry eastern areas of both main islands may get the rain relief they have been wanting for a while now.
Severe thunderstorms are also possible - these don't always have to have thunder and lightning, it's all about the large type of cloud build-up, and these can create very heavy slow moving rain.
Expect the unexpected over the next 48 hours d...
- Title
- Oz: High pressure & dry expands, we track the polar boundary & thunderstorms
- Runtime
- 7:45
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- A drier forecast is in place for larger parts of Australia this week, but we kick off Dec 1 with a polar blast in the south-east keeping the spring-like weather pattern well and truly alive as we go into the start of December. It will be short lived, but the storms south of Oz carry on this month (check out our December ClimateWatch update today, tracking the pattern going through this month now that La Nina has officially formed).
Phil tracks the daily showers and thunderstorms - and follows where the heat may surge, or where the polar boundary may be.
We have your Australia-only forecast for the first 7 days of December.
- Title
- ClimateWatch: DECEMBER - La Niña forms but Southern Ocean is stormier
- Runtime
- 12:19
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- La Niña has officially developed, but it's worth noting the conditions have been around since September with an official announcement needing to lock in these conditions at a particular threshold - which happened last week.
Australia's Bureau of Meteorology has been consistent for months about it likely forming in late spring/early summer and that it looks fairly weak and short lived. While many news outlets report an official La Niña declaration as if a switch has been flicked the conditions have been in our weather maps for months, so we don't see any sudden change to our weather pattern around New Zealand and Australia. But the South Pacific islands may get more rain and humidity due to decreased air pressure.
At the same time that La Niña has formed, a vigorous stormy pattern remains over the Southern Ocean area, frequently bringing cold blasts into the south-east quarter of Australia over November, but only brushing the southern South Island of NZ at t...
- Title
- NZ: Large low to rapidly form this week & cross the country
- Runtime
- 7:39
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- The first of Summer on the meteorological calendar is fairly settled around NZ, cool in the very south, warm in the very north - but the main energy comes in on Wednesday and Thursday as a low from the Tasman Sea rapidly forms and grows and crosses the country with a burst of wind and rain.
How much rain and where it falls continues to be fine tuned - and we'll have more details in Tuesday's update, but we take a look at the latest forecasts.
Later in the week warmer/hotter airflows return with high pressure also in the mix.
In the very south of the South Island the polar boundary comes and goes bringing some cooler days, especially to kick off this week.
- Title
- Oz: December may kick off cold, windy, wet in south-east (27/11/25)
- Runtime
- 8:50
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Despite tropical heat and thunderstorms still around over the days ahead it's what is happening in the Southern Ocean that is taking the weather headlines as we go into December.
Starting this Sunday around SA, Vic and Tas, and peaking into the start of next week, we expect a wintry change to arrive dropping temperatures and even bringing some snow into the mountains.
By early next week an East Coast storm may send gales - or at least just windy weather- into NSW, the A.C.T and a large part of Vic.
After this is high pressure - and that may help ease heat/humidity and thunderstorms in Queensland - but will drag that same heat and humidity further southwards into WA next week.
Programming Note:
We have no video tomorrow (Friday Nov 28) sorry, Phil is back again on Monday December 1st.
- Title
- NZ: Your weekend weather + outlook for start of December (27/11/25)
- Runtime
- 6:40
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Despite an unsettled weather pattern around New Zealand most places will still get some settled weather over the next week, but windy weather, a few thunderstorms and downpours and some temperature fluctuations are likely as wind flows change direction - we explain why.
By Sunday a low from the Tasman Sea moves into the West Coast with some rain and localised winds, but it may be an even larger low coming our way mid-week next week that may create larger areas of wind and rain.
Programming Note:
We have no video tomorrow (Friday) sorry, Phil is back again on Monday December 1st.
- Title
- Oz: December to kick off with polar air in south-east, thunderstorms & dry elsewhere
- Runtime
- 10:07
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Despite the heat for many, more 'wintry' air will continue to affect southern and south-eastern parts of Australia in the coming week - not to say it's cool/cold for everyone, but there will be some areas (like Melbourne) which continues to see below normal temperatures at times over the coming 7 days.
But elsewhere there is certainly no shortage of heat - and with tropical heat and humidity combining with low pressure areas and incoming cooler airflows it's the perfect recipe for thunderstorms - some severe - across most of the states and territories at some stage. We track them, along with some very large dry areas too.
And to make sense of it all, a 7 day rainfall map to see which areas look to be the wettest - or have the highest chance of wet weather.
Remember, if we're not talking much about your area we're not expecting much weather - or, not expecting much change from the usual conditions.
- Title
- NZ: Windy, warmer, for most - but a weak cold front coming
- Runtime
- 6:23
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- A storm well south of NZ will help produce gale force nor-westers going into Thursday, especially through the Southern Alps. This will boost temperatures in many regions over the next couple of days - both by day and by night.
But a cold front is coming - with temperatures dropping over the South Island going into Friday and the weekend, and that may produce a few thunderstorms going into the North Island.
We have your NZ forecast through to the start of December.
- Title
- Oz - Thunderstorms, large dry areas and a polar change
- Runtime
- 8:19
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Thunderstorms, some severe, are expected across large parts of Australia over the next couple days. In fact in Qld and NT scattered thunderstorms may well continue on into next week.
But there are some large dry areas coming in - and with a southerly flow that will bring a drop in temperatures for southern regions, especially near the coastline.
The polar boundary will also come in again for Tasmania and flirts with Vic and south-east SA.
And Cyclone Fina will fall apart today (or by overnight) going from a wind and rain event to just a rain and thunderstorm event for the Kimberley.
- Title
- Bursts of windy weather as NZ lies between highs and lows
- Runtime
- 6:36
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Some hotter weather is coming this week, especially in the east as the nor'wester cranks back up again with surges of windy weather over the next few days before cooler air arrives for some this weekend.
High pressure is moving away to the east, low pressure dominates the weather maps to our south and west - and NZ is in the middle of it all, with some changeable temperatures and still a spring-like theme to our weather going into December.
We have your New Zealand weather forecast for the rest of the week, the upcoming weekend, and the start of next week as we say goodbye to November and hello to December.
- Title
- NZ: We're not done with spring's westerlies or Southern Ocean storms
- Runtime
- 9:01
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- With the summer heat already arriving in 90% of New Zealand's regions it's easy to think spring is done, but it's not.
We have some large Southern Ocean storms that - while well south of NZ - will bring some bursts of gale westerlies and western rain.
At the same time large high pressure to NZ's east helps feed warmer airflows in.
We break down the end of November with a forecast for the final week.
Bring our videos to life!
We suggest you look at your local WeatherWatch.co.nz or RuralWeather.co.nz forecast as you watch our daily weather videos - to really make sense of your local forecast and to limit frustrations/surprises in your upcoming daily weather. No local forecasts are perfect - our videos help explain why rain does/or doesn't always fall when forecast.
- Title
- Australia: A severe cyclone, a polar change - and a bunch of thunderstorms and dry areas
- Runtime
- 9:17
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- It's not the most dramatic weather week this week - but in saying that we kick off with a Category 4 Severe Tropical Cyclone near the Kimberley and a few severe thunderstorms around the nation.
In the south cooler (or 'refreshing') airflows carry on - while the tropical heat mostly remains in the top half of the nation.
We track the big picture this week driving your local forecast. If Phil isn't talking about your specific area it's because we're not expecting much weather change.
- Title
- Darwin: Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina tracking directly to city today
- Runtime
- 8:38
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Saturday AM update -- It's a more serious forecast for Darwin today with Cyclone Fina upgraded to a Severe Category 3 Tropical Cyclone this morning by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology. It continues to track directly towards Darwin and lies over very warm seas that will continue to fuel it and potentially power it up even further.
In today's video we cover the latest tracking, which shows the cyclone passing near, or even over, Darwin later tonight.
Rain and wind will build today in Darwin and surrounding towns and communities in the north-west of the Top End.
We expect the worst of the winds to peak tonight, then easing back on Sunday AM in Darwin, likely before sunrise.
Heavy rain and thunderstorms, possibly severe, are also in the mix and could boost rainfall to over 300mm in just 24 hours in some locations.
We will have extra updates later today on our social media account: https://x.com/WeatherWatchNZ (not video for...
- Title
- Oz 7 Day: Tropical heat & cooler changes bring severe thunderstorms
- Runtime
- 11:07
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Qld, NSW, WA, SA and NT have a moderate to high risk of downpours, thunderstorms or severe thunderstorms over the weekend and into next week as the heat boosts up for some, while others get a cool down. This may produce damaging hail and localised flooding in some isolated spots.
In fact the polar boundary may well return to Tasmania next week, and be offshore from southern WA, bringing drops in temperatures - while further north the tropical air boundary slides southwards into SA, NSW and all of NT and Qld for a time, boosting the heat and humidity.
We also have a 7 day rainfall map to make sense of it all.
*Programming notes:
1) We have another update today about Cyclone Fina - and we will have a special Saturday update on the cyclone for Darwin and the Kimberley tomorrow morning.
2) Not locked in, but it's possible our Monday video may be published later than usual by a few hours due to other work commitments.
- Title
- Direct to Darwin: Tropical Cyclone Fina's latest tracking
- Runtime
- 8:26
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Special Cyclone Update --- Tropical Cyclone Fina is on track to direct pass over, or near to, Darwin on Saturday with a burst of wind and rain, before easing again by Sunday as it the storm tracks south-west towards northern Kimberley.
We cover the various models - and how they aren't yet perfectly aligned yet. Either way, damaging winds and heavy rain are expected in Darwin on Saturday - and surrounding areas too.
Due to some uncertainty on this cyclone we will have another update on Saturday morning to cover the very latest - so hopefully we can give more clarity then, but severe weather may start early on Saturday or later in the day - so please keep up to date with all official warnings and watches by the Bureau of Meteorology.
*Programming Note: We have one more video on Cyclone Fina, out on Saturday morning.
- Title
- NZ: Isolated weekend downpours, next week westerlies return
- Runtime
- 8:59
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- We're not done with the Southern Ocean yet. A very large storm south of NZ next week will ensure a burst of windy westerlies, heavy West Coast rain and a sign that the energy south of NZ may continue on into early summer, despite the building La Nina conditions to NZ's north.
This makes the weather pattern messier around New Zealand and while we do have high pressure coming in this weekend it's going to be challenged next week by a sub-tropical low, a Tasman Sea low and a very large Southern Ocean low. Certainly busy weather maps.
Today (Friday) and this weekend is largely settled - but there will be some cloudy areas, isolated showers/downpours and isolated daytime/early evening thunderstorms possible. Large dry areas.
Next week there's a brief cold change in the south of the South Island, then the week heats up as nor'westers build, potentially bringing temperatures into the upper 20s, even the lower 30s.
We have your 7 day forecast...
- Title
- Oz: Big Picture as heat ramps up for some, polar air for others`
- Runtime
- 9:39
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Thunderstorms and showers will pop up across parts of Australia over the next week as tropical heat sinks south and south-eastwards, boosting humidity and daytime temperatures for many places.
However the polar boundary and cooler southerly-quarter airflows will continue to bring temperature changes - so as places heat up next week, many may then be followed by a cool change.
Thunderstorms, some severe, are forecast - along with large dry areas.
And of course Tropical Cyclone Fina - please see our special video out about that today here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=za51I_Nffgw
- Title
- Special: Tropical Cyclone FINA (Top End & Kimberley)
- Runtime
- 6:36
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Special Update --- Tropical Cyclone Fina is now a Category 2 storm just north of the Top End, with the cyclone likely to turn south to south-westwards over the next 24 hours, before passing over (or nearby) to Darwin, most likely on Saturday PM.
Damaging winds and rainfall of 300 to 500mm are possible in Darwin and surrounds - but more details will come during Friday's update (and from the Bureau of Meteorology).
We cover the wind, rain, tracking and compare models showing Fina's likely tracking over the days and week ahead.
Our next update on Fina will be later on Friday morning Australia time.
- Title
- NZ: Afternoon downpours, high pressure and a subtropical low
- Runtime
- 8:38
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- New Zealand is halfway between the building La Nina conditions in the tropics north of us, and the stormier than usual weather south of the nation - bringing variety to our weather in the weeks ahead.
We have a taste of this set up over the next 7 days with a subtropical low next week moving towards the upper North Island while at the same time a huge storm in the Southern Ocean may affect the very south.
But we have a lot of high pressure surrounding NZ in the coming days - bringing hotter, drier, weather for many - but also the risk of some afternoon or evening downpours and isolated thunderstorms. It's the high pressure belt separating the La Nina conditions in the north from the stormy weather to New Zealand's south. A few moving parts to monitor at the moment.
*Apologies for the flickering onscreen in the final map today.
- Title
- Oz: Top End's Tropical Cyclone Fina forms, as polar boundary bites in south
- Runtime
- 11:09
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Tropical Cyclone FINA has been named by the Bureau of Meteorology and may become a Category 2 cyclone within the next 24 hours, posing some threat to Darwin and surrounds this weekend. We explain the storm's position and expected tracking over the next 7 days.
Elsewhere a large low in southern WA may produce severe thunderstorms today, while tomorrow thunderstorms start to form in eastern NSW and south-east Queensland.
The polar boundary is returning to Tas for a time, while cooler southerlies will affect the southern coastline - but next week the tropical heat southwards over SA, Qld and NSW.
It's a busy forecast and an extended video today.
- Title
- NZ: High pressure increases this weekend, but subtropical low to monitor next week
- Runtime
- 6:17
- Date posted
- 9 months ago
- Description
- Heavy rain continues to move along the north-east of the North Island today with drier weather coming in behind it.
Over the days ahead high pressure will increase around NZ but will be centred offshore - so a few showers are possible in both main islands this weekend, but with large dry areas.
Next week a large subtropical low will likely drift southwards towards NZ with an increasing easterly wind in the north... but high pressure around southern NZ may weaken this low, or limit how far south it can track. It's still not locked in - but we show you the latest.
- Title
- Oz: NT & Kimberley monitor tropical low, temp changes and showers elsewhere
- Runtime
- 10:15
- Date posted
- 10 months ago
- Description
- There is the chance of a tropical cyclone this week north of Darwin and it may affect the Top End and the Kimberley. Australia's Bureau of Meteorology has increased their cyclone outlook from a moderate risk yesterday, to today a high risk of cyclone formation.
But as we discuss it's still a messy forecast - and it's definitely unclear about intensity and precise tracking (and therefore where is most exposed to it). We expect these details to become clearer over the next 24 - 48 hours.
Elsewhere there are some very large dry areas, but windy weather is likely in the coming days in parts of the lower half of Australia, and into the eastern side of NSW to Victoria. High pressure mostly remains south of Australia in the coming week, but Tassie has a chance of it passing over them (a nice change!).
The polar boundary isn't done with southern Australia either - but we also see a shot of hotter tropical air reaching coastal SA for a time. More spring up...
- Title
- NZ: Heavy rain coming upper NI & West Coast, high pressure returning too
- Runtime
- 8:50
- Date posted
- 10 months ago
- Description
- New Zealand's weather is coming in from a number of directions over the coming week as large high pressure east of NZ combines with both a subtropical flow and a westerly flow to drive in heavy West Coast rain and pockets of heavy rain in the upper North Island.
The main time frame for wet weather is between now and Thursday morning, with a surge of gusty nor'westers today (potentially severe gale for a time through the Southern Alps).
But high pressure returns to NZ over the coming week, but that may also cause some daytime showers or downpours in a few northern and inland locations.
The polar boundary also briefly returns to the lower South Island - nothing major but a dip in temperatures coming.
We also have your 7 day rainfall map to make sense of it all.
- Title
- Oz: Tropical cyclone potential near NT, windy and cooler in the south
- Runtime
- 9:44
- Date posted
- 10 months ago
- Description
- A tropical depression may form into the first tropical cyclone of the season later this week, but it's still NOT locked in at this stage. However various computer models continue to show a powerful cyclone by Friday west of Darwin, other modelling shows a lazier low with rain and thunderstorms but not as much wind. We'll have more details in the days ahead once we can lock in if it will form into a tropical storm or not. The Bureau (BoM) is now also indicating a "moderate" risk later this week.
Elsewhere high pressure remains mostly offshore but does bring some drier areas, but also some windier weather in the southern states over the coming week. Showers will continue in some areas, but there are some large dry stretches in the mix too for many.
And that polar boundary won't go away just yet - it's bringing further pulses of colder southerlies across Australia's southern coastline at times. In fact, there's a growing chance we may see it lingering off and on ...
- Title
- NZ: Warmer week for most, heavy rain risks despite large dry areas
- Runtime
- 6:45
- Date posted
- 10 months ago
- Description
- We're in between highs this week which means NZ has warmer, subtropical, winds in the mix - but also some cooler airflows brushing the southern South Island.
Rain may be heavy on both the West Coast and some upper North Island regions, in particular Bay of Plenty.
Temperatures look to be above normal for many this week following a weekend cool down.
We have your NZ forecast to Sunday as powerful offshore high pressure zones continue to mix up our weather.
- Title
- Oz 7 Day: Weekend severe thunderstorms, potential tropical storm near NT
- Runtime
- 10:52
- Date posted
- 10 months ago
- Description
- Severe thunderstorms are in the forecast for Qld, NT and WA over the weekend and/or next week, but a polar southerly will help cut that humidity back for some next week as it pushes the tropical boundary back northwards too.
Cold changes continue in the south and south-east, with Vic and Tas most exposed to these.
And we focus on the tropical depression near Darwin that may become a tropical cyclone, but as we show you the modelling is not yet in agreement.
- Title
- NZ 7 Day: Incoming cold front, but warmer air next week (14/11/25)
- Runtime
- 9:49
- Date posted
- 10 months ago
- Description
- A cold front is moving into the South Island today and tonight and will cover the island by early Saturday dropping temperatures and bringing West Coast rain and a few showers elsewhere. This front will weaken further on Saturday as it moves into the western and upper North Island, but some isolated heavy falls are possible for a brief time as it moves in.
Sunday morning will be colder/cooler in a number of places too, but by Sunday afternoon temperatures lift up - with subtropical airflows in the mix next week, along with nor'westers too, helping drive up temperatures again.
Windy weather also kicks back in again around Tuesday and Wednesday with possible severe gales (like around inland Canterbury) for a time.
A few thunderstorms and showers are expected next week - with another potential cool down for some places by the end of next week.
We have your 7 day rainfall map and latest soil moisture maps too.
- Title
- NZ: Brief polar airflow coming, but the subtropics visit next week! (13/11/25)
- Runtime
- 6:54
- Date posted
- 10 months ago
- Description
- Low pressure is dropping southwards today, over the South Island leaving some heavy showers in its wake for the upper North Island.
A short lived cold snap will spread up the South Island on Friday PM (or overnight) and into Saturday where it reaches the lower North Island - before clearing most places by Saturday night. It will bring lower morning temperatures to both islands over the weekend, but by next week the subtropical airflow returns thanks to a huge and strong anticyclone east of the country. This will scoop mild air from Rarotonga and Tonga and drag it down over most of the country for a time.
But the weather pattern remains messy, with plenty of showers coming into the nation over the next week - along with some large dry areas.
Despite the brief cold change, most places will likely be warmer than average for this time of year over the coming 7 days due to the prolonged northerly or subtropical flow.
