WeatherWatchTV
NZ 10 Day weather forecast as high pressure grows, but two cold fronts likely (30/1/26)
- Title
- NZ 10 Day weather forecast as high pressure grows, but two cold fronts likely (30/1/26)
- Runtime
- 9:26
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- We have your forecast for this weekend, next week, Waitangi Day and the long weekend next weekend as high pressure grows around the country. Many regions will have more "summer like" weather, but on Monday/Tuesday a burst of wind, rain and a temperature drop is expected as a low tracks south of the country.
But by the end of Tuesday the next big high is rolling in - and should bring a fairly settled week next week. It's still a week away, so can't be locked in with total certainty yet, but there is the chance of a little bit of wet weather on Waitangi Day in the lower half of the South Island (we'll lock that in with more detail in our Monday update). High pressure is still expected for the long weekend in many regions.
ClimateWatch Video
Our next ClimateWatch update (monthly outlook) will be on Monday, Feb 2, taking a look at the bigger picture driving our weather going through the month of February.
- Title
- Oz: Sunday's cool down, next week's messy showery forecast
- Runtime
- 10:40
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- Excessive heat carries on today and into Saturday - but those near the southern coastline with notice the cooler change arriving, with those further inland feeling it by Sunday as a southerly change comes in following days of extreme heat. This will push that heat to the northern border of NSW and into inland Qld going into next week - and those in WA will also feel some hotter days as higher pressure moves south of the nation.
In the tropics it's hard to get a firm grasp of where wet weather will precisely be, with various weather models at odds over a large pool of low pressure - and if it will remain large and lazy, or potential spin up into a tropical cyclone around the Gulf of Carpentaria. Keep up to date with BoM this weekend to monitor that.
Meanwhile, next week the eastern side of NSW and Qld has some wet weather chances - and inland areas of both states should start to see thunderstorms and heavy downpours - but precisely where is harder to confirm, a...
- Title
- Oz: Extreme heat but a Sunday cool-down for many (29/01/26)
- Runtime
- 11:29
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- We take a closer look at the excessive heat continuing today, Friday and Saturday in the south-eastern quarter of Australia, in particular SA, Vic and NSW. A cooler/colder change comes in on Sunday and Sunday night for many and the extreme heat pushes further northwards into inland Queensland.
There's an unofficial tropical cyclone today north of Norfolk Island - it's not going to last long and will only bring some wet weather and higher humidity to Norfolk Island.
From a rain/showers/thunderstorms point of view across Australia it's a messy forecast - with no definite answer as to who will all get rain, but we show you two of the world's leading rain forecasters side by side to give you at least a general idea as to which areas have the better chances of rain and which places are more likely to lean dry over the next 7 days.
- Title
- NZ: Jan ends on a high, Feb starts with a low blow (29/1/26)
- Runtime
- 9:46
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- A cold front is moving up the South Island today, and falling apart, but high pressure is coming in behind it, bringing a warmer/hotter weekend. By Monday, Feb 2, a low south of NZ will bring a burst of windier weather, southern and western rain, northern showers/downpours - and a colder southerly change, dropping temperatures for much of NZ going through Monday and/or Tuesday.
By Tuesday though, high pressure again retuns and may linger over much of the nation going into Waitangi Day and the long weekend.
This morning an unofficial tropical cyclone had formed south of Fiji and well north of NZ. It's a borderline system and will be short lived and is fast leaving the tropics. It's not a named storm for these reasons. It will fall apart in the next 36 hours and won't bring severe weather to NZ based on any modelling we've seen, because of so much high pressure in our part of the world.
We also have a 7 day upcoming rainfall map to make sense of it ...
- Title
- Oz: Tracking extreme heat, a Sunday colder change and wet weather next week
- Runtime
- 10:25
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- More extreme heat will continue today, Thursday, Friday and Saturday before a cooler/colder change comes in on Sunday dropping temperatures in the south and south-east of the nation, and nudging the heat back northwards for a time.
Between the heat and the cooler air we will have thunderstorms and wet weather, with NSW perhaps getting the lion's share of that next week (although we're still waiting another day or two to really confirm that).
WA, the NT and Qld all have showers and thunderstorms with the chance of heavy rain next week around the Gulf of Carpentaria.
Norfolk Island also has the chance of an ex-tropical low bringing some rain/showers and humidity.
If you live in the southern western half of WA we aren't talking too much about you in today's update with mostly dry, easterly driven, weather on the way.
- Title
- NZ: Summer weather returns for many, but there is one catch next week...
- Runtime
- 7:59
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- High pressure covers New Zealand today and despite a weak cold front coming in to southern NZ on Thursday more high pressure returns going into the weekend. But, there is a catch - on Monday a burst of cold air from the sub-antarctic region south of NZ will move in, bringing rain, some thunderstorms and showers, gale force winds and even a dusting of snow on the Southern Alps.
The good news, for those sick of the wind and cold, is that more high pressure comes in after it and may well linger into the long Waitangi weekend. We don't yet have a forecast for the long weekend, but we do have a map for Waitangi Day to help make sense of what may be shaping up.
Lastly, there is a tropical depression between Vanuatu and Fiji and while it's close to being a tropical cyclone it's expected to fall apart before reaching NZ due to high pressure over us - but it may bring a few showers and higher humidity and heat to those in Northland this weekend (but no severe weather i...
- Title
- Oz: Excessive heat, tropical downpours & tracking any cyclone potential
- Runtime
- 9:57
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- Excessive heat, defined as above 40 degrees, is forecast for large parts of Australia this week with some locations getting close to the 50 degree mark - while southern coastal areas may have cooler airflows in the mix. We track the heat and temperature changes over the coming week and into early February.
An ex-tropical cyclone in central WA will bring heavy rain to remote areas, and links up to a line of convergence (cloud build-ups, showers, thunderstorms) right to the southern coastal of WA to the east, and may spillover a bit into SA.
Windy weather continues in parts of NSW, the A.C.T, Vic and SA - further fuelling the heat and the extreme fire risk. But a colder change should arrive by Sunday or Monday in the south-east.
Meanwhile there are tropical lows to monitor, one around the Gulf of Carpentaria and two more out towards Fiji - none of them are confirmed to be cyclones, but all three lows have that potential next week.
We al...
- Title
- NZ: High pressure comes back, rainfall reduces, temps lift, winds ease for many
- Runtime
- 6:52
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- Following the severe weather over the last week, this week and weekend look a lot more settled in most regions as high pressure finally sits over the nation.
The high pressure isn't overly powerful and so we may still get showers, isolated thunderstorms, and even a little bit of wind in some areas by Thursday - but compared to the past week it will be much more settled with minimal chance of severe weather.
We're monitoring the tropics - low pressure zones around Fiji may form into tropical storms as we go into February, but for now they are well away from NZ.
Monday next week, Feb 2, we may get a burst of windier weather and western and southern rain as high pressure slips east of NZ, so make the most of the final week of weather in January!
- Title
- Oz Weather to Jan 31: Tropical lows, WA rain & southern heat
- Runtime
- 9:37
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- There are three tropical lows to monitor in Australia, although at this stage only one (around the Kimberley) has a higher chance of becoming a tropical cyclone and affecting land.
Heat will be the main feature for much of Australia in the final days of January, although the south-west corner of WA and around Tas will still have some cooler airflows in the mix.
A lot of people in Vic and SA in particular have been asking me when rain is coming - sadly we don't see much, if any, coming for the rest of January. We show you what is driving the nation's weather and where any showers, thunderstorms and low pressure will be.
Happy Australia Day for Monday - Phil will catch you again in our next video update on Tuesday.
- Title
- NZ Weather to Jan 31: Windy, cooler, weekend - then winds ease but daytime downpours possible
- Runtime
- 11:09
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- It will be a windy weekend for a number of regions, with showers, some heavy with isolated thunderstorms developing over both islands today and over the days ahead - but dry and calmer areas are also in the mix. This weekend is especially windy around the North Island and for a time in the lower South Island. We break it down for you as there are a lot of moving parts (hence the longer runtime of our video today - normally we aim for 8 minute updates).
Next week the low finally moves off NZ and winds become lighter in many places as higher air pressure moves in - but with that comes the added risk of daytime thunderstorms and downpours, especially inland areas. Not everyone will get them due to our mountains and ranges breaking up the flow, but we show you the main risk areas... finer tuning of these forecasts will be done on Tuesday (Programming Note, due to Auckland Anniversary we have no video update on Monday).
We have NZ's rainfall outlook to Sunday night...
- Title
- Oz: Two tropical lows to monitor, extreme heat inland pushes south (22/01/26)
- Runtime
- 10:06
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- The skies are fairly dry over a large portion of Australia but a line of showers/isolated thunderstorms continues in the days ahead from the north-west corner of Qld to the south-east corner, also the north-east corner of NSW and some coastal areas.
Two tropical lows to monitor - the main one at this stage is for the Kimberley this weekend with a possible tropical cyclone coming in, then helping create heavy downpours and severe thunderstorms down central/eastern WA to the southern coastline - next week this may drift further into SA but for now SA and Vic look mainly dry.
The heat is expanding too - excessive heat (which is usually over 40 degrees) will push into SA, NSW, the A.C.T and inland Vic.
Tas isn't too unsettled but there are some ups and downs with temperatures as high pressure zones move through.
The second area of tropical low pressure worth monitoring is up around the Coral Sea/Solomon Sea area next week. It's unclear at...
- Title
- NZ 7-Day: Showers and a windier, cooler, southerly flow on the way (22/01/26)
- Runtime
- 8:56
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- Heavy rain continues in parts of the South Island today as the ex-tropical low drifts down over the eastern North Island and will push out to sea later this afternoon and evening, getting stronger as it does so - but also moving further offshore. Rain has eased in a number of North Island regions but drizzle and showers can still be expected, especially in the west, along with windy westerlies developing.
As we go into Friday PM and Saturday AM a colder southerly change moves up the South Island with a dusting of snow likely on the peaks of the Southern Alps on Friday night (above about 1800m). Humidity eases further for those in the north where it has been very muggy for the past day or two. Single digit overnight lows are expected across inland parts of the South Island and Central North Island on Saturday morning, but winds in the North Island will have more of a westerly lean to them - helping dry out eastern areas of the upper North Island.
This set-up re...
- Title
- Oz: Hotter weather for many places in the days ahead, still large areas of dry (21/1/26)
- Runtime
- 8:47
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- Despite cooler airflows in the mix for the south of the nation, hotter air is moving in this weekend and early next week for many places, boosting temperatures inland above 40 degrees.
The south-west of WA will have some cooler airflows in the mix, as will Tas and parts of SA and Vic, but the hotter weather will be noticeable this weekend and into next week.
A tropical low near the Kimberley is worth monitoring in the days ahead - mostly from a rain point of view. A few showers and thunderstorms for the NT and Qld, although surprisingly large areas of dry weather (or low rainfall totals) in a number of centres.
Next week a low over the Coral Sea might become a tropical storm - but it's too far out to lock in yet.
Plus a 7 day rainfall map to make sense of where the highest risk for showers/rain will be.
- Title
- NZ: Tropical low, then windy, cooler, weather dominates until early next week (21/1/26)
- Runtime
- 11:26
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- We have full details on the wind, rain and tropical humidity descending into New Zealand today, tonight and Thursday - then explain how the low will park itself between the South Island and the Chatham Islands this weekend and into early next week, creating a colder/cooler southerly change (and perhaps more west to south-west for the North Island).
Heaviest rain today and Thursday looks to be leaning east in the upper North Island, for Northland, Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty, East Cape, Gisborne and northern Hawke's Bay, but rain may also spread into Canterbury and other regions of the South Island.
Tropical humidity will also be a significant feature of this low later today, tonight/overnight and Thursday morning - especially the top half of the North Island with some very muggy weather coming in, before a more refreshing westerly arrives on Thursday PM.
The windy weather sticks around for some regions for a number of days, with ...
- Title
- NZ: When is 'summer weather' returning? Long range forecast
- Runtime
- 5:47
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- Extra video --- So many people have been asking us "when will summer weather return?" - so in this video we start at Monday next week and look at the possible weather set-up for the last week of January and going into February.
Long range forecasts chop/change all the time - but as forecasters we tend to look for where the high pressure systems are, as that usually dictates the weather we are likely to receive.
Watch this video knowing things can change - but here are the longer range maps showing that, yes, summer isn't yet over in NZ - but there are still a number of moving parts (ie, cooler southerlies at times in the south, and a fair bit of energy in the tropics).
Our next ClimateWatch (monthly outlook) will be issued on Tuesday the 3rd of February and will dive deeper on the pattern around NZ for the last official month of summer.
- Title
- Oz: Hot weather moving to southern & eastern coastlines this weekend
- Runtime
- 10:03
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- There are cooler winds in some southern and south-eastern parts of Australia at the moment but that is going to change this weekend and early next week as a hot weather gets pushed south-east of Australia. Even Tasmania will feel hotter weather by Saturday - although worth noting it is short lived there as the next cooler change kicks back in again soon after.
We track the temperature changes in the week ahead across the nation, also the downpours and thunderstorms (not too many of them to be honest, but the tropics and top half of Australia has the highest chance). There may also be some wet weather in the south-east for a time too, but rainfall totals don't look like much.
In the tropics we're monitoring a few low pressure zones, one around Kimberley, the other two over the Coral Sea - and one of those Coral Sea lows is expected to track over Norfolk Island bringing some wind, rain and thunderstorms within the next 48 hours before it heads into New Zealand.<...
- Title
- NZ: Tropical low: Heavy rain, strong winds, tropical humidity - then a colder southerly this weekend
- Runtime
- 9:53
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- We have full details on the tropical low moving into New Zealand as we track the heaviest rain, the strongest winds, and which areas (and when) receive the tropical humidity before a more refreshing westerly arrives across Thursday.
By Friday and into the weekend this low lies east of the South Island and will continue to strengthen, coupled with high pressure nearer to Australia this will dredge up a colder/cooler/refreshing change - but it may even bring a dusting of snow to the Southern Alps around Friday/Saturday.
Monday next week still has a southerly - but it's hopefully easing by then as high pressure finally starts to move closer to NZ. We have another video update out later today about the longer range forecast for the end of January and start of February due to so many people asking us when the "summer weather" will return... or even show up for the first time in some places!
Keep up to date with MetService warnings and watches (https://...
- Title
- NZ: Tropical low brings flood/slips and gales risk, high humidity before cooler weekend
- Runtime
- 10:00
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- A tropical low is coming into New Zealand mid to late this week with heavy rain and severe gales, along with extremely high humidity for a time around the North Island in particular.
Some regions may see one or two month's worth of rain in just a couple of days, in places that have already had more rain than usual in recent weeks. Slips and flooding are possible, especially around the North Island and maybe even some parts of the South Island. The low is interacting with other low pressure in the area and this means forecasts are still going to change a bit in the coming days as it's slightly messy in it's setup.
By Friday and Saturday a colder/cooler/refreshing southerly comes in - but again, heads up campers, trampers and boaties - more gales are possible for a time as the low moves south-east of NZ and those southerly winds come in.
- Title
- Oz: Heat coming back + Tropical low for Norfolk Island
- Runtime
- 10:23
- Date posted
- 7 months ago
- Description
- Cooler airflows remain in southern parts of Australia, but the heat is coming back going into the weekend with 40+ temperatures inland.
There will be some inland downpours and eastern coastal showers in the coming days - but generally rainfall isn't too high in most states and territories in the coming week, with perhaps Queensland and tropical regions receiving the highest totals.
Norfolk Island is also expected to receive heavy rain and strong winds as a tropical low passes by this week.
We cover the ups and downs with Australia's weather out to this Sunday.
- Title
- Oz: 2 tropical lows to monitor, windy at times for southern/eastern areas
- Runtime
- 10:44
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Two tropical depressions are worth watching next week, both may turn into Tropical Cyclones, one likely tracking over Norfolk Island, and the other possibly affecting Broome, or other northern parts of WA. Neither are confirmed tropical cyclones this far in advance, but are worth monitoring.
In the south-east of Australia easterly winds will kick in over the coming week, gusty at times in southern and coastal parts of NSW and into Vic (esp near the mountains/ranges).
Large dry areas are in the mix going into the next week with fewer rain events and thunderstorms in the southern half of the nation, although coastal NSW certainly has plenty of cloudy and showery/wet days in the mix.
- Title
- NZ: Colder air moving in, but a tropical low looks to bring wind & rain late next week
- Runtime
- 8:42
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- A colder, cooler or more refreshing change (depending on how you view it) is moving into New Zealand over today and the weekend, dropping humidity levels in northern NZ and bringing some cold nights into the South Island interior this weekend.
But next week high pressure will be in southern NZ while a deepening tropical low (still unclear if it will be a tropical cyclone or just a tropical depression) will sink southwards - this will create a windy easterly flow into NZ, especially the upper North Island, likely tilting more north-east late week as the low moves in with the chance of heavy rain and severe gales. But it's still a week away, so we need more time to lock it in with more precision.
Phil has your weekend weather and the outlook for all of next week - plus a rainfall map to make sense of it all.
- Title
- Oz: Large dry areas, gusty winds for some & a potential tropical cyclone risk for Norfolk Is.
- Runtime
- 10:38
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Lower pressure covers much of Australia bringing thunderstorms and showers into the top half of the nation, especially around Qld and the Top End today and tomorrow. But in the days ahead NSW may see more thunderstorms and showers, and next week an easterly flow may keep that cloud and showery weather continuing from the Great Dividing Range eastwards to the coast.
Windy weather is likely to blow through parts of NSW, the A.C.T and Vic, and eases further going into SA and WA.
A tropical depression in the Coral Sea may turn into a tropical cyclone next week - current modelling indicates that Norfolk Island may get strong winds and heavy rain, but the tracking isn't locked in yet - neither is the certainty of it becoming an official tropical cyclone. We take a look at the latest maps and a 7 day rainfall map to make sense of it all.
- Title
- NZ: Tropical low pressure may influence the weather from next week
- Runtime
- 9:14
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Low pressure covers central and northern parts of NZ today with higher humidity and downpours and hit and miss thunderstorms, with cooler airflows coming in to the south and east over the coming weekend. The cooler airflow is due to high pressure that will be situated south of New Zealand, dredging up subantarctic air in some regions.
But next week a low pressure zone leaving the tropics (around New Caledonia) may form into a tropical cyclone and drift southwards towards NZ. It's likely the anticyclone south of NZ will affect the tracking of this low - and while the forecast one week from now is not yet locked in, the latest maps do suggest rain, wind and tropical humidity may affect the North Island.
We track the temperature changes, upcoming rainfall, and where high and low pressure is expected to be over the coming 8 days.
- Title
- Oz: Gusty winds, temperature changes & some severe thunderstorms (13/1/26)
- Runtime
- 9:25
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Windy, warm and dry weather may be in the forecast for some regions battling bushfires in the coming week, as high pressure (quite strong) remains south of the nation and a large pool of low pressure covers the top half, if not the top 3/4 of Australia.
Beween the highs and lows we have a 'squash zone' of air pressure, making for windier easterlies over the next week, especially around parts of NSW, Vic and SA.
Severe thunderstorms may also affect parts of Vic, NSW, the A.C.T and Qld on Thursday.
We're also monitoring a couple of low pressure zones around the Coral Sea / Vanuatu area, especially going into the start of next week. It's not clear yet what precisely will happen there, but we show you the latest modelling.
Plus a 7 day rainfall map of Australia to make sense of it all.
Programming Note:
We have no weather videos on Wednesday this week, back again on Thursday!
- Title
- NZ: I know that it's time, for a cool change... (13/1/26)
- Runtime
- 8:14
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- To quote the Little River Band, it's time for a Cool Change - with daytime temperatures dropping in a number of regions, especially those in the south and east of both main islands, over the days ahead.
The reason? A large anticyclone south of Tasmania. This strong high pressure zone is dredging up subantarctic air and pushing it into southern and eastern regions in the coming days. Some places only have maximum temperatures in the low to upper teens - quite the contrast to the mid to upper 30s some places had over the weekend.
The cool (or cold for some) air may hang around for a number of days - not the greatest beach weather in some locations, but not all regions are as affected - especially those in the north and west going into the weekend.
There is also a weak area of low pressure crossing NZ over Wednesday bringing some patchy rain, and showers - some might be heavy with thunderstorms as we go into the end of the working week as the low fa...
- Title
- Oz: Tracking the temperatures, wind & downpours to Sunday (12/1/26)
- Runtime
- 7:27
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- There are large dry and windy areas in southern parts of Australia this week, but nothing too extreme for most places. Thunderstorms left over from the tropical cyclone continues in Queensland and a few thunderstorms also form in NSW and continue through parts of WA and NT. The south-east and south are mainly dry for now - and not the best forecast for those battling with bush fires, although the temperatures back off a little on the extremes of last week.
We are monitoring a couple of lows this week - an east coast low which may bring some severe risks to Australia's very south-east (around the NSW/Vic border) and a potential tropical cyclone this weekend near New Caledonia.
We have your Australia forecast through to this coming Sunday.
- Title
- NZ: Tropical lows expand this week, high pressure & showers for now... (12/1/26)
- Runtime
- 6:09
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- High pressure looks to be pretty dominant in the NZ area this week, but we have plenty of showers, downpours and a few inland thunderstorms in the mix too as humidity levels lift a little and more east to north-east winds develop.
There are at least four low pressure zones to monitor this week, three of them having tropical or subtropical connections.
A tropical cyclone near New Caledonia is possible later this week or weekend. It's not locked in yet, with so many other lows in the region sometimes they can "steal energy" off each other, making for large lazy lows rather than one particularly aggressive one. Still, they are all worth monitoring as all these lows, even if offshore, may influence NZ's weather. But higher air pressure looks to be the main driving force of our weather this week.
We have your forecast through until this coming Sunday.
- Title
- Oz 7 Day: Excessive heat, a cool down + Qld tropical low (& another tropical low next week) (9/1/26)
- Runtime
- 11:14
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- 40 to 45 degree heat continues across a large part of Australia today, easing a little this weekend as a much more refreshing southerly change comes in to the south. Today that boundary between hot and cold is making for thunderstoms and cloud in the south of the nation. This weekend Tas gets a colder change, while in Queensland we're still monitoring a possible Tropical Cyclone - although very much looks like a rain event rather than a widespread wind event.
Next week temperatures move around a bit, but nothing too major is showing up - however later next week the next tropical low (around Vanuatu and New Caledonia) may move into the Tasman Sea (not locked in this far out). We explain the messy set-up later next week and how a number of low pressure zones could bring some wind and rain to the east or south-east - as you'll see it's hard to lock in today, but on Monday we expect to "do better" explaining things! 🙂
For WA, SA and NT there are the usual thunde...
- Title
- NZ: Mid-upper 30s this weekend, cool down Monday, + tropical low to monitor next week (9/1/26)
- Runtime
- 9:14
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- A burst of Australian and subtropical heat is coming to NZ, starting today and easing early Monday, brought in by windy nor'westers which peak in strength on Sunday.
For some eastern areas, such as inland parts of central Hawke's Bay, the mercury may be closer to 40 degrees if conditions pan out perfectly. Western coastal areas of NZ will be warm, but without the excessive heat. The highest temperatures will be inland and/or leaning to the east.
Following Sunday's heat, a cooler/colder change moves in, especially for the lower half of the South Island on Sunday night and Monday morning.
Next week more high pressure moves into the NZ area - but we'll then be monitoring the tropics with a potential tropical cyclone (or depression) around Vanuatu and New Caledonia. While some modelling shows this storm hitting NZ, other models do not - so we will need to wait until Monday next week to lock in with more detail.
MetService may well be issu...
- Title
- Oz 7 Day Outlook: Qld's tropical cyclone threat is "messy", fairly dry for others (7/1/26)
- Runtime
- 9:58
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- There is the chance of a tropical cyclone in Queensland this weekend - but equally a chance it may not get that intense, and just be a rain event. What we do know is that a large area over the NT, Qld and Coral Sea areas has cyclone potential over the coming several days - but the messiness of the low pressure, coupled by an anticyclone in the Tasman Sea affect it all, means it is a borderline set up. BoM gives it a "Moderate" chance of formation, and we have the same feeling due to this messy set up - and we show you various models to explain. Either way, and regardless of which computer models pans out most accurate, rain looks to be more of an issue for Queensand, rather than wind. We'll continue to monitor it closely over the coming days.
Elsewhere dry skies and more heat - although some more refreshing southerlies are in the mix for the coastal south.
Next week NSW, especially west of the Great Dividing Range, has a higher chance of daytime and evening do...
- Title
- NZ: Scorching weekend for some, widespread gales possible on Sunday
- Runtime
- 9:53
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- High pressure dominates NZ for the next week but on Sunday a storm just south of the country coupled with a high over Northland will create a belt of gusty winds with Severe Gales possible through the South Island and lower North Island.
The nor'wester, which is coming out of the NSW/Queensland interior, may see some eastern regions at the top of the South Island or lower/central North Island reach the mid-30s.
But there is also a cooler/refreshing change coming in next week - and apart from showers many regions don't have high rainfall, although the West Coast may have over 300mm.
We have your NZ forecast for this week, this weekend and across next week.
Programming Notes:
- Phil is off camera this week due to the New Year break. He returns back on screen next week.
- We have no NZ weather video tomorrow/Thursday.
- Our next update will be on Friday.
- Title
- Oz: Qld Cyclone potential, Heat expands for many places
- Runtime
- 8:24
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Forecasts are monitoring the potential of a tropical cyclone off the Coral Sea later this week, or Saturday, for the top half of Queensland. We discuss why it's borderline/moderate risk of formation and what is potentially getting in the way of it strengthening.
In many others states and territories the heat is coming in - right to the south and eastern coastlines - and into the west as well. Although there are still some more "refreshing" southern coastal temperatures in the mix.
We have our first Australia forecast for 2026, right through to Tuesday of next week.
Programming Notes:
- We are not in our usual studio set-up this week, so apologies if the videos visually appear a little different (back to normal from Monday next week)
- Phil is offscreen this week, returns onscreen next week.
- Our next video is tomorrow/Wednesday
- We have no weather videos this Thursday.
- Title
- NZ: Hotter weather coming, chance of gales this weekend
- Runtime
- 8:59
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- n our first weather video of 2026 we update our forecast out to the middle of January. Heat will increase this week thanks to a pulse of hot nor'westers out of Australia, making for a hot Friday, Saturday and Sunday with some places (like inland Hawke's Bay) potentially reaching the mid 30s this weekend. However coastal parts of Southland and Otago may well be cooler over the coming week.
Rain returns to the West Coast this weekend and by Sunday a surge of damaging nor'west gales is possible around the South Island and lower North Island - not locked in yet but certainly showing up for a few days in long range maps.
We tracks the lows, the highs, the thunderstorms and temperature fluctuations.
Programming Notes:
- We are not in our usual studio set-up this week, so apologies if the videos visually appear a little different (back to normal from Monday next week)
- Phil is offscreen this week, returns onscreen next week.
- Our next...
- Title
- Oz weather forecast to Jan 15, 2026
- Runtime
- 11:22
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- We have the latest forecast for New Year's Eve, New Year's Day and the first two weeks of January. While the longer range forecast may well change, it shows a theme of high pressure zones tracking along just south of Australia while tropical areas of low pressure continue to meander around.
A few thunderstorms, some severe, may form around Qld and NSW in particular (outside of the usual tropical ones).
We track the temperature changes and the wet/dry weather.
Remember, long range forecasts will change - but the Big Picture long range animation shows generally the likely weather expected around the Australia region.
Programming Notes:
- Phil is offscreen for a couple of weeks providing some video updates still (we're not in our usual studio so apologies if anythings look different)
- We are taking a short break - this is our final video. Our next video update will be on Tuesday January 6th.
HAPPY NEW YEAR!
- Title
- NZ weather forecast to Jan 15, 2026.
- Runtime
- 11:27
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Drier weather, hotter days and lighter winds are all coming - but between now and Sunday there will still be windy areas, wet weather, and severe thunderstorms.
On Friday and Saturday a southerly flow will work northwards up the nation, bringing some colder winds for a time in the southern South Island and alpine areas, and a cooler morning for a number of regions around NZ on Sunday (although nothing major). There will be more thunderstorms and downpours in both main islands over the coming days.
But during Sunday and Monday high pressure expands over the country bringing lighter winds and hotter days - and a few inland downpours and thunderstorms.
A tropical low is worth monitoring near Fiji next week - but for now poses no threat to NZ, and doesn't look overly serious. Still, it's in a part of the world where they can power up suddenly.
We also take an extended look at the weather from next Thursday (Jan 8) to the following Thursd...
- Title
- Oz: Latest New Year's Eve forecast + outlook to Monday next week
- Runtime
- 8:04
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Severe Category 4 Tropical Cyclone Hayley is approaching the Kimberley and will move in on New Year's Eve with conditions already deteriorating. While this storm is hitting a remote part of WA we cover which towns are closest to it.
There is a large low still over Queensland, bringing more rain and thunderstorms over the coming week as it unravels. Low pressure continues around the top half of Australia.
Meanwhile the southern part of Australia looks drier overall, with some cooler airflows in the mix off the Southern Ocean.
We track Australia's weather through to Monday of next week.
Programming Notes:
- Our next update will be on Wednesday afternoon (New Year's Eve) and may be published later than our usual time.
- Philip Duncan is offscreen due to being out of our normal studio for the Christmas/New Year break.
- Title
- NZ 8-Day Outlook: Severe weather to ease, high pressure soon to build
- Runtime
- 8:48
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Many people are asking us when "summer weather" will return - and we have more traditional summer-like weather on the way, but we have to get through the large, deep, low pressure zone first. That low is creating more gales and heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms over the last two days of 2025 - then starts to ease and clear away over the first couple of days of January.
As we go into this weekend high pressure builds and while some may have a cooler southerly flow for a time, the skies will dry out further going into Sunday with hotter, drier, weather thanks to high pressure likely kicking off next week.
There is a subtropical low to keep an eye on, dropping south from Fiji next week, but it looks large but lazy and fairly weak - and apart from some easterlies in northern NZ it's, for now, not expected to bring rain. But we'll monitor it and will have more details tomorrow with a special 14 day outlook.
Programming Notes:
- We have your d...
- Title
- Some EXTRA satellite imagery this afternoon around #NewZealand and #Australia.
- Runtime
- 0:54
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Some great satellite imagery this afternoon around #NewZealand and #Australia. (Mon Dec 29, 2025).
🇳🇿🛰️🌀
Imagery credit: Weatherzone
1/3
===
A system in #Queensland, with a close view showing "Visible True Colour" satellite map, past 6 hours.
Credit: Weatherzone #Australia (Mon 29 Dec 2025)
2/3
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Absolutely love this past 6 hour animation of the Water Vapour satellite imagery - same system as the second imagery - but here an incredibly clear-cut line between moisture in the atmosphere (white) and dry air (black). #Queensland #Australia
(Green is rain radar, showing low pressure spinning inland)
🦘🛰️
3/3
- Title
- Oz: New Year's Eve & Day weather + Cyclone Hayley in WA
- Runtime
- 9:43
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Tropical Cyclone Hayley has formed and will likely impact part of the Kimberley just north of Broome with a burst of wind and some heavy rain. Meanwhile in Qld a large area of low pressure is going to bring some heavy, slow moving, rain and thunderstorms to both eastern and western parts of the state, in the tropics. Further southwards into NSW and A.C.T and Vic it is much drier, but some inland thunderstorms and showers are coming.
Apart from a few showers Tas is looking more settled, less windy but the heat may still not be there for all due to cooler/refreshing southerly airflows, which may affect large parts of coastal southern Australia at times.
Phil tracks the highs and lows in Australia's Big Picture weather outlook, through to this Sunday.
Next update: Tomorrow/Tuesday.
- Title
- NZ: Tracking the windy & wet weather, then the next anticyclone
- Runtime
- 8:50
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- A depression west of the upper North Island is helping bring rain and strong winds to parts of New Zealand, today, tonight and into Tuesday. Generally speaking the wind and rain is tracking down the North Island and will stop around the upper half of the South Island as high pressure grows in the south.
We track the movement of the windiest weather, and which areas are most exposed to rain - but we also take a look at when the winds ease and drier weather comes in.
New Year's Eve looks look intense weather-wise, but with low pressure in the area it's going to spark some daytime and early evening downpours and thunderstorms, especially around the western and upper North Island.
New Year's Day sees much larger dry areas and the winds easing further for most, although may still be a little windy in some spots - our video explains more. Still more daytime downpours and possible thunderstorms.
This weekend an anticyclone (high pressure) fi...
- Title
- Oz: Weather outlook for NYE & start of 2026
- Runtime
- 8:01
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- There is low pressure in the north, high pressure to the south - and that's mixing up the temperatures in some places.
Low pressure around the tropics is driving in some heavy rain areas in the coming week to Qld, NT and WA - but especially around Qld in the top half from east to west.
There are more refreshing airflows continuing in the southern coastal areas, for example Melbourne has maximum temperatures between just +17 degrees and +29 degrees.
We track Australia's weather and rainfall for the next 7 days ahead.
Our next video update will be tomorrow/Monday.
- Title
- NZ: Severe weather risks as large low sees 2025 out
- Runtime
- 9:54
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Heavy rain and damaging wind gusts are expected to descend down the nation over the coming days bringing a wet and windy end to the year in a number of locations - although not everyone has wind and rain as our mountains and ranges break up the flow. The mountains and ranges also enhance the wind and rain, making it more intense for others.
Heavy rain and strong wind warnings are expected to increase from MetService as the low moves in.
There is some good news - the weather is likely to break up more going into New Year's Eve and New Year's Day with less severe weather around and fewer warnings expected.
We break down the wind, rain, dry, calm and thunderstorm risk over the coming week as we say farewell to 2025 and hello to 2026.
Our next update will be tomorrow/Monday.
- Title
- Australia's weather forecast to New Year's Eve
- Runtime
- 8:36
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- We've got Christmas Day and Boxing Day covered, plus the last weekend forecast for 2025 - then we focus on what is building up towards New Year's Eve.
Thunderstorms are mainly in the northern half of the nation, but a few will form in the south, along with more windy and colder/cooler/refreshing changes in the mix.
The south-east corner of Oz looks coolest - while the northern half and south-west corner of WA looks hottest, although a cool down is coming for southern WA again after Christmas Day.
We have the latest on Tropical Cyclone Grant, heading to Cocos, and a couple of other tropical low pressure zones near the Kimberley and FNQ next week (nothing major showing up yet).
Programming Note: This is Phil's last onscreen video forecast for 2025, but he will be back this weekend (either Saturday or Sunday) with an offscreen update as we head towards New Year's Eve and the start of 2026.
- Title
- NZ: Low pressure moving in for end of 2025
- Runtime
- 9:49
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Low pressure looks to be driving New Zealand's weather more as we enter the final 7 days of 2025.
For Christmas Day and Boxing Day the nation lies between high pressure north of NZ and low pressure near the lower South Island. This will mean more windy west to north-west winds for a number of places off and on over the next couple of days.
Low pressure looks to move in more-so on Sunday and into next week - but doesn't mean wind or rain for everyone, there will still be long dry spells and mild to hot weather in the mix. But colder air flows do flirt with the lower South Island and the West Coast has heavy rain at times.
Large lows don't always bring wet and windy weather - sometimes our mountains and ranges can make for very sunny, calm, weather but it's worth noting that sudden downpours or showers can also form due to the instability.
New Year's Eve is still not locked in - but we'll have more details this coming weekend about that...
- Title
- Oz: Updated Christmas Day weather +Tropical lows to watch next week
- Runtime
- 10:31
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- A large high pressure zone should ensure a fair amount of dry weather over the southern half of Australia on Christmas Day, with the south-east corner (including Tasmania) definitely feeling cooler air flows, some might even call them wintry in Tas.
The top half of Australia will be hotter and more humid, with low pressure zones bringing thunderstorms and wet weather areas into the mix.
Hottest main centre looks to be Perth, getting up to close to 40 degrees. Coolest main centre will be Hobart, with a high of 12 (although may go a bit higher if the sun comes out and the winds ease).
Many places look dry - but a few locations in the north/tropics may be quite wet. We break it down for you.
There's also a low in the Coral Sea worth monitoring next week (not looking like a storm at this stage), meanwhile in WA offshore a tropical cyclone is looking more likely - but too early to lock in. Broome looks to be the nearest main centre to that...
- Title
- NZ: Weather for Christmas & NYE: The good, the bad and the ugly...
- Runtime
- 9:12
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- Low pressure, windy weather, hot and cold - it's all in the mix over the coming days, bringing both hot and dry weather for some on Christmas Day, colder, wetter and cloudier for others.
A similar weather pattern remains for Boxing Day and going into the weekend for some - as potentially more low pressure moves in.
Coldest weather will be in the lower one third of the South Island, hottest weather in the eastern North Island.
The weather forecast from Sunday through to New Year's Eve is not yet locked in - but we bring you the latest weather maps right up until New Year's Eve.
Our next update will be tomorrow/Christmas Eve.
- Title
- Oz: Latest Christmas Day forecast + peek at NYE weather
- Runtime
- 9:02
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- High pressure is expanding in the south but that means a colder, showery and windier change coming in to the south-east corner around Christmas Day.
Many of the main centres don't look too bad, but Melbourne and Hobart may be the coldest/coolest. Much of Tasmania looks caught up in a windier south-west flow around then.
In the tropics we're seeing much more life as far as daily downpours and thunderstorms are concerned, with larger parts of Queensland also seeing more thunderstorms.
We break down the weather this week, then also take a quick (not locked in) view of how New Year's Eve is shaping up.
Our next update will be tomorrow, Tuesday.
- Title
- NZ: Latest Christmas forecast + New Year's Eve outlook (22/12/25)
- Runtime
- 10:16
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- We have an extended forecast covering the rest of 2025 as a cold change looks set to kick in from Christmas Day in the south, bringing some wind and wet weather (and a dusting of alpine snow).
It's an unsettled forecast for the rest of the year - but not all will have bad weather, with large dry areas in the mix and also some heat still coming too (especially in the north and east of both islands).
But southern and south-western parts of the South Island (and at times the lower North Island) have the most changeable weather coming in.
We break it down for you and give you the forecast right through until New Year's Eve next week!
Back again tomorrow Tuesday with our next NZ weather update!
- Title
- Oz: Severe thunderstorms possible Vic, NSW this weekend + Christmas outlook
- Runtime
- 10:14
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- The heat and humidity may still be lifting up for some places but a more refreshing change is coming as we head towards Christmas.
The cooler process begins this weekend along the southern coastline - and this will generate thunderstorms here and there, with a focus on parts of NSW and Vic getting a severe thunderstorm risk.
Wintry weather again brushes Tas with some windy weather in the days leading up to Christmas.
We cover 7 day rainfall across Australia with this video forecast out to Boxing Day.
Our next update will be on Monday at our usual time.
- Title
- NZ: Wintry change for some, windy and warm for others
- Runtime
- 9:15
- Date posted
- 8 months ago
- Description
- A cold snap is moving up NZ today and Saturday, before easing Sunday and clearing most places on Monday - it will bring a drop in temperatures nationwide, a burst of windy weather, some rain/showers and isolated thunderstorms, and a dusting of snow on the Southern Alps, maybe even some on the highest North Island mountains.
There is also a frost risk this weekend and on Monday morning in some regions.
Next week the westerlies crank back up again - boosting the heat in the east, especially the eastern North Island.
Christmas Eve, Christmas Day and Boxing Day all look similar - westerlies may be blowing in the north and central areas, some West Coast rain (and western North Island isolated showers) and colder air stuck around the lower third of the South Island. This is still not locked in yet - but the forecast is becoming clearer.
We also have a 7 day rainfall map to make sense of it all.
TROPICS:
Today's video also...
